The labor numbers suggest a potential push for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, though the scale of cuts remains uncertain. While some predict rate cuts between 50 to 75 basis points by the end of the year, the total could reach up to 150 basis points over the next 12 months. However, there's concern that rising interest rates could weaken job growth before rates are lowered. This raises the possibility of a recession. Stocks are hopeful for a soft landing, while bonds indicate a potential hard landing or recession ahead.
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