Financial analysts initially misjudged the situation, thinking negotiations would happen without aggressive tactics. Instead, a 10% baseline tariff is now in place, which the economy and markets can tolerate. However, reciprocal tariffs—including 54% on China, 20% on the EU, 46% on Vietnam, and 32% on Taiwan—are much harsher and will need to be negotiated down. While some sectors like semiconductors and autos have exclusions, market fears of a trade war and potential recession are causing volatility.
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